Porsche Is Mulling a Cayenne Coupe Because the BMW X6 and Mercedes-Benz GLE Coupe Are Kings of the World

Timothy Cain
by Timothy Cain

On this, TTAC’s authors and TTAC’s audience are largely in agreement: luxury sport utility coupes are not the answer to the vehicular challenges of this age.

So Porsche is probably going to build a Cayenne Coupe.

It’ll probably have four doors. It’ll probably be more expensive than a regular Cayenne. It will almost certainly not be as good or half as attractive as a Porsche Cayenne.

But some, yes some Cayenne buyers will choose the “coupe.” How do we know? Because BMW sells some X6s and some X4s, and Mercedes-Benz was pleased enough with BMW’s success that it decided to sell some GLE and GLC Coupes, as well.

Speaking to Autocar at the debut of the third-generation Porsche Cayenne, Porsche CEO Oliver Blume says the SUV-maker that builds sports cars on the side “is thinking about” it, but no decision has been made.

Translation: Porsche is considering building a vehicle to take on overpriced, impractical niche utility vehicles from its German competitors.

Indeed, it’s more than a consideration. Porsche’s chief designer, Michael Mauer, says the company has created a model of what the Cayenne coupe would look like. Mauer adds that this is nothing unusual. “We’re always asked to come up with proposals,” Mauer says. “For each and every model, we have a lot of ideas. But there has to be a business plan.”

Roughly seven out of every 10 Porsches sold around the world is now a Macan or Cayenne, yet Porsche hasn’t evolved either lineup to include any derivatives as Porsche has previously done with its three car models: hard and soft top mid-engine sports cars, hard and soft top rear-engined sports cars, a new Sport Turismo wagonized Panamera. Beyond introducing an even smaller utility vehicle — which would, if it ever occurs, likely be the size of a Mercedes-Benz GLA with a price more similar to the GLC — Porsche has room to grow the Cayenne and Macan lineups.

That’s what BMW did with the X5 in 2008, when it spawned the X6. Nearly 57,000 X6s have been sold in America since. It’s what BMW did again with the X3 in 2014 when it was used as the basis for the X4. More than 17,000 X4s have been sold in America since. Neither the X6 nor the X4 appear to have had a negative impact on their donor vehicles. The BMW X5 hit record-high U.S. volume in 2015; the X3 did so in 2016.

Mercedes-Benz, as one might expect, then followed up with its own competitors to the X6 and X4 — the GLE Coupe and GLC Coupe. The recipe was simple to follow: decrease practicality and flexibility and attractiveness — though beauty is, as always, in the eye of the beholder — and charge more money. Sell a few, though not many, and do so at no expense to the donor vehicle. Mercedes-Benz doesn’t separate GLE and GLC Coupe sales figures from the regular models, but production tallies suggest 25 percent of GLEs sold are coupes. That’s around 8,600 of the 34,458 GLEs sold during the first eight months of 2017. If accurate, that’s more than the X4 and X6 put together before the GLC Coupe is even taken into account.

Regardless of volume potential or the lack thereof, Oliver Blume doesn’t feel Porsche needs more sales. While expecting the $85,000+ electric car based on the Mission E Concept to generate roughly 20,000 global annual sales, Blume says, “We have had good growth in the last few years, but the number of cars is less important than the needs of customers.” Porsche tripled its global volume between 2009 and 2016 but now looks for future growth of roughly 5 percent per annum.

A Porsche Cayenne Coupe would add very little to the mix, but if it’s something Porsche’s customers want, expect Porsche to follow the course set by its compatriots. Just as the Cayenne followed the X5 and M-Class; just as the Macan followed the X3 and GLK.

[Image: Porsche; Illustration: The Truth About Cars]

Timothy Cain is a contributing analyst at The Truth About Cars and Autofocus.ca and the founder and former editor of GoodCarBadCar.net. Follow on Twitter @timcaincars and Instagram.

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  • Ermel Ermel on Sep 16, 2017

    Oh come on, get over it already. I've been calling fixed-pillar, fixed-rear-glass coupés "two-door sedans" for ages, making a fool of myself in the process. The four-door coupé is here to stay, both as a car and as a "utility" vehicle -- deal with it. Besides, there is prior art: the Rover P5 coupé, which was just as four-door as the Rover P5 sedan, but with a slightly lower rear roofline. This is in agreement with the word's original meaning by the way: "coupé" is French for "cut up" (which is why I insist on both the accent and the pronunciation as "coo-pay", as if further proof for my being a fool was needed). So in the original sense of the meaning, an SUV with part of its roof hacked away to make room for a sleeker tailgate is actually much more of a coupé than a sedan completely redesigned to be a sleeker two-door sedan.

  • Edgett Edgett on Sep 16, 2017

    Just what the world needs more of; trucks with hatchbacks. Thankfully, both Acura and Honda pulled out before the seed was planted in Japan as well...

  • Varezhka I have still yet to see a Malibu on the road that didn't have a rental sticker. So yeah, GM probably lost money on every one they sold but kept it to boost their CAFE numbers.I'm personally happy that I no longer have to dread being "upgraded" to a Maxima or a Malibu anymore. And thankfully Altima is also on its way out.
  • Tassos Under incompetent, affirmative action hire Mary Barra, GM has been shooting itself in the foot on a daily basis.Whether the Malibu cancellation has been one of these shootings is NOT obvious at all.GM should be run as a PROFITABLE BUSINESS and NOT as an outfit that satisfies everybody and his mother in law's pet preferences.IF the Malibu was UNPROFITABLE, it SHOULD be canceled.More generally, if its SEGMENT is Unprofitable, and HALF the makers cancel their midsize sedans, not only will it lead to the SURVIVAL OF THE FITTEST ones, but the survivors will obviously be more profitable if the LOSERS were kept being produced and the SMALL PIE of midsize sedans would yield slim pickings for every participant.SO NO, I APPROVE of the demise of the unprofitable Malibu, and hope Nissan does the same to the Altima, Hyundai with the SOnata, Mazda with the Mazda 6, and as many others as it takes to make the REMAINING players, like the Excellent, sporty Accord and the Bulletproof Reliable, cheap to maintain CAMRY, more profitable and affordable.
  • GregLocock Car companies can only really sell cars that people who are new car buyers will pay a profitable price for. As it turns out fewer and fewer new car buyers want sedans. Large sedans can be nice to drive, certainly, but the number of new car buyers (the only ones that matter in this discussion) are prepared to sacrifice steering and handling for more obvious things like passenger and cargo space, or even some attempt at off roading. We know US new car buyers don't really care about handling because they fell for FWD in large cars.
  • Slavuta Why is everybody sweating? Like sedans? - go buy one. Better - 2. Let CRV/RAV rust on the dealer lot. I have 3 sedans on the driveway. My neighbor - 2. Neighbors on each of our other side - 8 SUVs.
  • Theflyersfan With sedans, especially, I wonder how many of those sales are to rental fleets. With the exception of the Civic and Accord, there are still rows of sedans mixed in with the RAV4s at every airport rental lot. I doubt the breakdown in sales is publicly published, so who knows... GM isn't out of the sedan business - Cadillac exists and I can't believe I'm typing this but they are actually decent - and I think they are making a huge mistake, especially if there's an extended oil price hike (cough...Iran...cough) and people want smaller and hybrids. But if one is only tied to the quarterly shareholder reports and not trends and the big picture, bad decisions like this get made.
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