Sales of Culled GM Sedans Tell the Story

Steph Willems
by Steph Willems

We’d love to create our own reality, but it’s not achievable. Not while other people exist. I’d prefer a vehicular landscape populated with vinyl-topped sedans and formal personal luxury coupes and regular cab pickups, but alas, the personal buying choices of millions of consumers have stymied those childhood dreams.

With a few rare exceptions, coupes are now the domain of ballsy muscle cars, not front-drive compacts. Sedans were vanishing even before GM’s Monday decision to cull half-a-dozen four-door models. Fiat Chrysler said goodbye to the compact and midsize field a couple of years ago. Meanwhile, Ford has no plans to populate the roadways with anything other than the Mustang and a bevy of light trucks in the near future.

Sad times for lovers of the traditional car, for sure. Still, General Motors’ decision to shutter underperforming plants in pursuit of higher-margin light trucks (and whatever EV or AV action the future holds) shouldn’t come as a surprise. One look at historical sales figures shows the writing was on the wall for General Motors’ crop of soon-to-be-discontinued sedans.

In 2012, just six years ago, some 58 percent of GM sales in the U.S. involved some form of light truck. Over the first three quarters of 2018, that figure was 79.3 percent. That’s a sea change for an automaker already well-stocked with pickups and SUVs.

Through the end of September, Chevrolet Impala sales fell 13.4 percent, year to date. Compared to the model’s high water mark of 2007, however, the Impala’s Q3 figure is 82.4 percent lower than in the same period of that heady year. Chevy Cruze sales fell 25.6 percent, year to date, in 2018, but the loss grows to 56.8 percent if you contrast it with Q3 2014 figures. 2014 was the Cruze’s best sales year.

As for the Volt, 2016 marked the model’s best sales year, but only by a hair compared to 2012. The American election and subsequent fears of a culled EV tax credit sparked a surge of sales that December, inflating the annual tally. Regardless, Volt sales are down 13.4 percent in 2018, and 18.9 percent from 2016.

You don’t have to guess how the Buick LaCrosse fared during this tumultuous decade. It’s well documented. In 2010, the first full year after the LaCrosse nameplate took over full-size duties from the defunct Lucerne (I still see more Lucernes on the road than LaCrosses), Americans lined up for traditional big-car living, then promptly disappeared. LaCrosse sales over the first three quarters of 2018 are 71.8 percent lower than the same period in 2012, and 14.2 percent lower than the same period last year.

Cadillac’s XTS front-drive full-sizer has already seen one production reprieve in its lifetime, and its execution notice was the only one that didn’t take anyone by surprise. Still, the XTS was a relatively consistent seller thanks to its popularity among livery companies. Sales of the Caddy sedan peaked in 2013, with volume falling 46.6 percent between Q3 2013 and Q3 2018.

As for the CT6 flagship sedan, the model never really took off after its release in 2016 — a fate it shared with Lincoln’s reborn Continental. If the first XT4s hadn’t shown up on the sales ledger in Q3 2018, the CT6 would be the lowest volume vehicle in the Cadillac stable, and even then, sales are down 10.6 percent from a year ago.

Americans buyers don’t care that auto journos wouldn’t be caught dead driving a crossover. The thought of a Chevy Equinox in their driveway appeals to them far more than the thought of a Kia Stinger taking up real estate in front of their home. How many Equinoxes did GM sell over the first three quarters of 2018? 234,379. Put another way, that’s roughly 38,000 more sales than the six GM sedans put together.

Whether or not GM can make use of the Oshawa, Lordstown, or Detroit-Hamtramck plants for new, profitable products remains to be seen, but there’s no doubt that the products they did produce had little in the way of a future.

[Images: General Motors]

Steph Willems
Steph Willems

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  • Hummer Hummer on Nov 28, 2018

    We lost a bunch of FWD unibody mostly 4 cylinder cars - woopee I no longer have to worry about getting these in rentals, worse I don't have to put up with a Impala being considered a "Premium" car while the Hemi charger is considered a normal fullsize. Alongside the Camry and Altima that are inexplicably considered full size despite being small midsize cars.

    • Highdesertcat Highdesertcat on Nov 28, 2018

      And GM tweeted today that many of the laid-off workers will transfer to other plants, if they want to. No doubt there will be more news on this subject tomorrow, and the day after, and the day after that. President Trump is not pleased about the $54Billion GM cost the US tax payers only to repay the tax payers with lay-offs and plant-closings. Stay tuned. It ain't over 'til it's over.

  • Jim52 Jim52 on Nov 29, 2018

    Faithful reader that posts rarely. Does anyone besides me recall article after article in the last 5 years about flexible and lean manufacturing, as well as platform sharing and component commonality. The experts said automakers could be profitable in runs of under 20,000 units. Clearly at GM, even if sales of the Cruze and others are in decline, they sale far more than that. As a corollary to this: anyone see that PSA turned a profit at Opel in Germany after 1 year of ownership. GM could not do that in 23 years. I hate to say it (as an Ohioan with family/friends/neighbors at risk) I think GM's days are numbered.

  • Bd2 Lexus is just a higher trim package Toyota. ^^
  • Tassos ONLY consider CIvics or Corollas, in their segment. NO DAMNED Hyundais, Kias, Nissans or esp Mitsus. Not even a Pretend-BMW Mazda. They may look cute but they SUCK.I always recommend Corollas to friends of mine who are not auto enthusiasts, even tho I never owed one, and owned a Civic Hatch 5 speed 1992 for 25 years. MANY follow my advice and are VERY happy. ALmost all are women.friends who believe they are auto enthusiasts would not listen to me anyway, and would never buy a Toyota. They are damned fools, on both counts.
  • Tassos since Oct 2016 I drive a 2007 E320 Bluetec and since April 2017 also a 2008 E320 Bluetec.Now I am in my summer palace deep in the Eurozone until end October and drive the 2008.Changing the considerable oils (10 quarts synthetic) twice cost me 80 and 70 euros. Same changes in the US on the 2007 cost me $219 at the dealers and $120 at Firestone.Changing the air filter cost 30 Euros, with labor, and there are two such filters (engine and cabin), and changing the fuel filter only 50 euros, while in the US they asked for... $400. You can safely bet I declined and told them what to do with their gold-plated filter. And when I changed it in Europe, I looked at the old one and it was clean as a whistle.A set of Continentals tires, installed etc, 300 EurosI can't remember anything else for the 2008. For the 2007, a brand new set of manual rec'd tires at Discount Tire with free rotations for life used up the $500 allowance the dealer gave me when I bought it (tires only had 5000 miles left on them then)So, as you can see, I spent less than even if I owned a Lexus instead, and probably less than all these poor devils here that brag about their alleged low cost Datsun-Mitsus and Hyundai-Kias.And that's THETRUTHABOUTCARS. My Cars,
  • NJRide These are the Q1 Luxury division salesAudi 44,226Acura 30,373BMW 84,475Genesis 14,777Mercedes 66,000Lexus 78,471Infiniti 13,904Volvo 30,000*Tesla (maybe not luxury but relevant): 125,000?Lincoln 24,894Cadillac 35,451So Cadillac is now stuck as a second-tier player with names like Volvo. Even German 3rd wheel Audi is outselling them. Where to gain sales?Surprisingly a decline of Tesla could boost Cadillac EVs. Tesla sort of is now in the old Buick-Mercury upper middle of the market. If lets say the market stays the same, but another 15-20% leave Tesla I could see some going for a Caddy EV or hybrid, but is the division ready to meet them?In terms of the mainstream luxury brands, Lexus is probably a better benchmark than BMW. Lexus is basically doing a modern interpretation of what Cadillac/upscale Olds/Buick used to completely dominate. But Lexus' only downfall is the lack of emotion, something Cadillac at least used to be good at. The Escalade still has far more styling and brand ID than most of Lexus. So match Lexus' quality but out-do them on comfort and styling. Yes a lot of Lexus buyers may be Toyota or import loyal but there are a lot who are former GM buyers who would "come home" for a better product.In fact, that by and large is the Big 3's problem. In the 80s and 90s they would try to win back "import intenders" and this at least slowed the market share erosion. I feel like around 2000 they gave this up and resorted to a ton of gimmicks before the bankruptcies. So they have dropped from 66% to 37% of the market in a quarter century. Sure they have scaled down their presence and for the last 14 years preserved profit. But in the largest, most prosperous market in the world they are not leading. I mean who would think the Koreans could take almost 10% of the market? But they did because they built and structured products people wanted. (I also think the excess reliance on overseas assembly by the Big 3 hurts them vs more import brands building in US). But the domestics should really be at 60% of their home market and the fact that they are not speaks volumes. Cadillac should not be losing 2-1 to Lexus and BMW.
  • Tassos Not my favorite Eldorados. Too much cowbell (fins), the gauges look poor for such an expensive car, the interior has too many shiny bits but does not scream "flagship luxury", and the white on red leather or whatever is rather loud for this car, while it might work in a Corvette. But do not despair, a couple more years and the exterior designs (at least) will sober up, the cowbells will be more discreet and the long, low and wide 60s designs are not far away. If only the interiors would be fit for the price point, and especially a few acres of real wood that also looked real.
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